- Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi think an OpenAI initial public offering will be announced by March 1, 2027.
- Speculators recalibrated their timelines for a public market debut by the artificial intelligence platform after a New York Times report said OpenAI is considering a delay.
The outlook for an initial public offering from artificial intelligence platform
OpenAI is changing after a New York Times report said the company may delay a debut on the public market until next year.
Speculators say that there's a 59% chance that an IPO by OpenAI is officially announced by March 1, 2027. Traders place only about one-in-three odds that an IPO is announced before Jan. 1, but think there's a 73% chance of an announcement by June 2027.
Kalshi considers an IPO confirmed, and thus resolves the contracts to "yes," if any of the following occur: the Securities and Exchange Commission declares a company's S-1 form effective, the IPO has an official price or if the company receives a trading ticker.
The New York Times said SpaceX's
public market debut — the first of what was expected to be several mega-cap IPOs this year — has made OpenAI's advisors more cautious. OpenAI has worried that Elon Musk's company's initial rally and subsequent fall signals retail investors may have less interest in buying, the report said.
At the beginning of June, OpenAI's chief rival Anthropic
confidentially filed for an IPO. Traders on Kalshi think there's a 70% chance Anthropic officially announces a public market debut by December.<small>Source: CNBC</small>
Business
OpenAI is reportedly delaying its IPO. Here's when Kalshi traders think it will announce
CNBC
June 26, 2026
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